My last blog we showed that 'Long Barrows' are found in only 9 countries of the world and that the last northern ice cap that covered Europe was concentrated over the SAME 9 countries. Consequently, some well known Geologists have cried 'coincidence', but is it really? - only mathematics can prove us right or wrong!
The probability of a single country having 'Long Barrows' is simple calculation for there are 195 countries in the world - so the probability of just one having long barrows is 195 divided by 9 (number of counties with long barrows)- that's 22:1. The odds of having a polar ice cap over your country in the last ice age is less as (although not impossible) the likelyhood is that the countries on the equator would be exempt - so we are looking for a figuare of half - lets say 10:1.
Therefore the chances of having a polar ice cap over a country that results in 'Long Barrows' is 220:1
The fact that 9 countries are together under the same ice and resulting in Long Barrow increases that figure by a factor of 9 - so the final probability of this happening at random is just under 2000 to 1.
So it's quite overwhelming odds that we are correct!!